LOM Balanced Fund Manager’s Report Q2 2025

Fund Manager's Report

During the second quarter of 2025, the LOM Balanced Fund rose 6.05% as market rebounded from a sharp tariff-related selloff in early April. Over the past five years, the fund has provided an average return of 9.60% annually.

Global macroeconomic activity in Q2 was shaped by a mix of resilient consumer spending, persistent inflation and escalating geopolitical tensions. In the United States, GDP growth remained positive but decelerated from the robust pace seen in late 2024. The Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate in the 4.25%–4.50% range, citing sticky core inflation, tariff uncertainty and a still-tight labor market. Meanwhile, consumer confidence wavered slightly in June amid concerns over rising energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East, which also contributed to increased market volatility and a brief spike in crude oil prices.

Global equities rebounded sharply in Q2 2025, with the S&P 500 posting a 10.9% total return over the quarter, despite a swift -12.1% selloff from April 2 to April 8 following the “Liberation Day” tariff announcements. Markets quickly regained footing as resilient corporate earnings, rising expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and the postponement of tariff negotiation deadlines reignited investor optimism.  The S&P 500 ended the quarter at a record high on June 30, completing one of the fastest market recoveries in history.

In fixed income markets, uncertainty on tariff positions generated significant volatility early in the quarter. In April, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield spiked to almost a 4.60% as the market became concerned about the longer-term economic impacts of tariff policies before drifting down later in the period.  Corporate spreads initially widened on tariff announcements given the potential impact to their business models and the credit risk from importation duties.  With the 90-day pause put into place there was some normalization, with the market settling around 1.10% above government debt, though this continued the move away from a 2024 market of spreads averaging closer to 0.80%. 

In this environment we continue to favor an overweight position in equities but have also been staying with our strategy of opportunistically diversifying into attractive regions and sectors. At quarter end, the Fund was allocated approximately 66.5% to equities, 33.0% to fixed income securities and 0.5% in cash and equivalents.

The information contained in this article is for information purposes only, and represent the views of the author. It is not intended as specific investment or financial advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Any investments or strategies listed in this article may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future performance, and as with any investment, prices may fluctuate. It is recommended that advice is sought from a qualified investment professional prior to implementing any financial plan. LOM has made every effort to ensure that the contents herein have been compiled from sources believed reliable, however LOM does not warrant the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness, or completeness of this information expressly disclaims liability for errors or omissions in this information.