The Stable Income Fund provided a net total return of +7.22%for the 2024 year as global risk markets responded positively to economic resilience and relatively accommodative world monetary and fiscal policies. The total return is inclusive of a monthly $0.035 dividend payout per unit.
The US economy demonstrated continued resilience in the fourth quarter of 2024, reinforcing the narrative of a successfully engineered “soft landing” with no imminent signs of a recession. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annualized rate of 2.7% in Q3 and is projected to grow at a slightly moderated pace in Q4. The labor market continued to show strength, adding 227,000 jobs in November, with the unemployment rate steady at just above 4.0%.
US equity markets delivered mixed results in Q4. The quarter began on a strong note, buoyed by mega-cap stocks and optimism following the election of President-elect Donald Trump on November 6. However, sentiment shifted sharply on December 18 when the Federal Reserve’s rate cut announcement signaled a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment. The S&P 500 dropped 2.95% on the day, yet managed a quarterly gain of 2.07%. In contrast, the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index fell 1.89%, highlighting significant performance dispersion.
Globally, the MSCI World Stock Index posted a marginal decline of 0.41% for the quarter. Within the broader markets, sector rotation was pronounced. Consumer Discretionary (+14.25%), Consumer Staples (+8.87%), and Financials (+7.06%) led gains, driven by expectations of tax cuts and deregulation under the incoming administration. However, rising longer-term interest rates hurt higher dividend-paying stocks in both the US and abroad. In Q4, the US Dow Jones Dividend Select Index fell by -1.85% and while the Global Dividend Select Fund fell by -7.91%.
In general, international markets faced a challenging quarter. US tariffs, slowing global economic growth, and a strengthening US dollar weighed heavily on performance. Hybrid securities were also negatively impacted by rising interest rates during the quarter. The S&P Preferred Stock index fell -4.30% and ICE Exchange-Listed Preferred and Hybrid Securities Index fell -2.97% over the period.
At quarter end, the Fund was allocated approximately 46% to hybrid securities (including preferred stock and baby bonds), 43% dividend-paying equities and 8% fixed income. The current dividend yield on the Fund was 3.71% at quarter-end based on the monthly unit payout of $0.035.
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